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1.
Results Phys ; 36: 105398, 2022 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1740160

ABSTRACT

Statistical models perform an essential role in data analysis, and statisticians are constantly looking for novel or pretty recent statistical models to fit data sets across a broad variety of fields. In this study, we used modified Kies generalized transformation and the new power function to suggest an unique statistical model. We present and discuss a linear illustration of the density function. Theoretically, quantile function, characteristic function, stochastic ordering, mean, and moments are just a few of the structure properties we discuss. By defining an ideal statistical distribution for assessing the COVID-19 mortality rate, an attempt is performed to determine the model of COVID-19 spread in different nations like the United Kingdom and Italy. In some countries, the novel distribution have been shown to be more appropriate than existing competing models when fitted to COVID-19.

2.
Results in Physics ; : 105377, 2022.
Article in English | ScienceDirect | ID: covidwho-1720813

ABSTRACT

Statistical models play an important role in data analysis, and statisticians are constantly looking for new or relatively new statistical models to fit data sets across a wide range of fields. In this study, we used a new alpha power transformation and the Gumbel Type -II distribution to suggest an unique statistical model. The study contains a simulation analysis to determine the parameters’ efficiency. Two real-life data sets were utilized to demonstrate the use of novel alpha power Gumbel Type II (NAPGT-II) distribution. NAPGT-II distribution yields a better fit than Weibull, new alpha power exponential, exponentiated Gumbel Type-II, Gumbel Type-II and exponentiated generalized Gumbel Type-II distribution, as evidenced by the data.

3.
Results Phys ; 28: 104638, 2021 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1386568

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this paper is to identify an effective statistical distribution for examining COVID-19 mortality rates in Canada and Netherlands in order to model the distribution of COVID-19. The modified Kies Frechet (MKIF) model is an advanced three parameter lifetime distribution that was developed by incorporating the Frechet and modified Kies families. In particular with respect to current distributions, the latest one has very versatile probability functions: increasing, decreasing, and inverted U shapes are observed for the hazard rate functions, indicating that the capability of adaptability of the model. A straight forward linear representation of PDF, moment generating functions, Probability weighted moments and hazard rate functions are among the enticing features of this novel distribution. We used three different estimation methodologies to estimate the pertinent parameters of MKIF model like least squares estimators (LSEs), maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and weighted least squares estimators (WLSEs). The efficiency of these estimators is assessed using a thorough Monte Carlo simulation analysis. We evaluated the newest model for a variety of data sets to examine how effectively it handled data modeling. The real implementation demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms competing models and can be selected as a superior model for developing a statistical model for COVID-19 data and other similar data sets.

4.
Results Phys ; 21: 103747, 2021 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1003029

ABSTRACT

In this article, we develop a generator to suggest a generalization of the Gumbel type-II model known as generalized log-exponential transformation of Gumbel Type-II (GLET-GTII), which extends a more flexible model for modeling life data. Owing to basic transformation containing an extra parameter, every existing lifetime model can be made more flexible with suggested development. Some specific statistical attributes of the GLET-GTII are investigated, such as quantiles, uncertainty measures, survival function, moments, reliability, and hazard function etc. We describe two methods of parametric estimations of GLET-GTII discussed by using maximum likelihood estimators and Bayesian paradigm. The Monte Carlo simulation analysis shows that estimators are consistent. Two real life implementations are performed to scrutinize the suitability of our current strategy. These real life data is related to Infectious diseases (COVID-19). These applications identify that by using the current approach, our proposed model outperforms than other well known existing models available in the literature.

5.
Alexandria Engineering Journal ; 2020.
Article in English | ScienceDirect | ID: covidwho-885163

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study is to analyze the number of deaths due to COVID-19 for Europe and China. For this purpose, we proposed a novel three parametric model named as Exponentiatedtransformation of Gumbel Type-II (ETGT-II) for modeling the two data sets of death cases due to COVID-19. Specific statistical attributes are derived and analyzed along with moments and associated measures, moments generating functions, uncertainty measures, complete/incomplete moments, survival function, quantile function and hazard function etc. Additionaly, model parameters are estimated by utilizing maximum likelihood method and Bayesian paradigm. To examine efficiency of the ETGT-II model a simulation analysis is performed. Finally, using the data sets of death cases of COVID-19 of Europe and China to show adaptability of suggested model. The results reveal that it may fit better than other well-known models.

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